COURNOT, Antoine Augustin.

Exposition de la théorie des chances et des probabilités.

Paris: Librairie de L. Hachette, 1843 Stock Code: 149649
£950.00
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First edition of Cournot's major work on the basis of probability theory and its application to the social sciences.

"His book of 1843 was a text with the dual purpose of teaching the non-mathematician the rules of the calculus of probability and of dissipating the obscurities on the delicate subject of probability. He stressed the distinction between objective and subjective probability" (The New Palgrave). Cournot was one of four writers from three countries (the others being Jakob Friederick Fries, Richard Leslie Ellis, and John Stuart Mill) who "independently proposed interpretations of probability that were fundamentally frequentist in character" (Skyrms and Harper, p. 188). However, "despite this early efflorescence, the frequency theory did not begin to gain widespread acceptance until its careful elaboration, nearly a quarter of a century later, in John Venn's Logic of Chance", published in 1866 (ibid.).

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Description

Octavo (213 x 133 mm). Early green pebble-grain cloth rebacked with green morocco, spine lettered in gilt, front cover lettered "Lycée de Vesoul", marbled endpapers.

Illustrations

Folding diagram to rear.

Condition

Light rubbing at extremities and foxing to contents, some leaves unopened; a very good copy.

Bibliography

Einaudi 1362; Goldsmiths' 33124; Kress S.6805. Skyrms and Harper (eds.) Causation, Chance and Credence: Volume 1, 1988.

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